Tuesday, August 01, 2006

What You See Is What You Get? III


As you notice, the difference of BP-BP and ROI decreases when the investment period is longer. From the table, you will shock to notice that you actually incur loss of 5.28% if you cash out after a year of investment. That means if you invest $ 10,000 at the beginning and cash out after a year, you only manage to get back $ 9,472!!

How about the return for Certificate of Deposit (CD) or known as Fixed Deposit (FD) in some countries? Assuming CD/FD could give you 4% return per annum, the return over 5 years period would be:

Year 4% return per annum ROI (%)
0 1 0
1 1.04 4
2 1.0816 8.16
3 1.1249 12.49
4 1.1699 16.99
5 1.2167 21.67



When you compare ROI of Fund KSA and CD/FD, you will notice that ROI of Fund KSA only outpaces CD/FD after 4th year!! Amazing, isn’t it? When you pay hoping for get the better return as compared to “risk-free” CD/FD investment, the outcome is shocking. That is no wonder, the promoters always ask you to invest for long term – the longer the better. We do agree that investment should always for long term (more than 7 years). But, this only applies to the investment that creates value to its investors. If you choose a lousy investment, the longer you hold, the worse you get. Time is unemotional, it would not sympathize you because you choose a lousy investment. In fact, time would punish you if you choose a lousy investment. Time only reward to those who choose a good investment, this is the core of the value investment.

Next time, when the promoters of Mutual Fund (Unit Trust) try to persuade you to purchase the fund and show you how good the return, you should ask them one question: the return is on whose perspective, Fund or investor, that’s you who pull out the money to feed them.

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