Woodstock for Capitalists

Click here to view the slide show....

Limitations of Financial Reporting

The excerpts from "Sense and Nonsense in Corporate Finance" by Louis Lowenstein, professor emeritus of law at Columbia University:

The freedom to mark assets to market brings to mind the remark by Mark Twain that "a mine is a hole in the ground with a liar on top." Twain could as well have been speaking of land appraisals of all types.

In the best of worlds, financial statements would produce numbers that are truly comparable, both across companies and for the same company across time. Did General Motors' earnings increase from 1985 to 1989? According to the company, they did, rising slightly, even though GM sold only 7.9 million cars and trucks in 1989 com­pared to 9.3 million in 1985. There were a number of reasons, in­cluding a turnaround in GM's European operations, but an important reason was that in the interim, the company had rearranged some of the estimates and assumptions on which its financial statements were based. In addition to the already mentioned 1987 change in the esti­mated life of its auto plants, in 1986 the company raised the ex­pected rate of return on its pension funds, which increased that year's net profit by $195 million. By 1989 the annual report no longer contained sufficiently detailed information from which to cal­culate precisely the continuing effects of these and other revisions. One estimate is that, in all, they added over $1 billion of after-tax earnings for 1989. Without that $1 billion, there would have been no increase in earnings since 1985. Yes, GM was able to find that $1 billion without breaking any of the rules. The rules are very flexible.

Do words and numbers mean only what management says they mean, or is there some consistency? It's a problem of credibility in the marketplace, but it also threatens to dis­tort management's own analysis and the internal discipline. In other words, numbers that are no longer comparable from year to year or company to company are a problem not just for investors trying to make portfolio decisions but for creditors and for management itself.

When I first became involved in the supermarket industry in the 1960s, it was commonplace for the smaller public companies in the industry-typically those that were growing rapidly but had weak balance sheets-not to buy anything larger than a cash register if it meant putting debt on the balance sheet. Instead of borrowing money to build and own, say, a store, these companies would lease the finished store from the developer or pursuant to a so-called finan­cial lease from a lender, such as an insurance company. These lease financings were always more expensive than borrowing the money to own the store outright, but neither the companies nor the financial community seemed to care, so long as the company could keep the obligation off the face of the balance sheet, disclosing it only in the footnotes. This is the kind of seemingly pointless paper shuffling that economists find incredible. But that was how the world was. It's easy to say that this was foolishness, but it was conventional foolishness.

In the 1970s the FASB adopted an accounting standard that suc­ceeded in pushing a large part of this off-balance-sheet financing back onto the balance sheet, but it did not succeed entirely. Many compa­nies still arranged their leases to avoid capitalizing them. They were even willing to give away renewal options and other significant eco­nomic values to do so. To paraphrase Kurt Vonnegut, these companies had adopted the philosophy that you are what you pretend to be.

Click here to view more...

Mulan OST (Korean Version)

Click here to view -- Eternal Memory

Click here to view -- Reflection

Woman Scent by See-Ya MV

Click here to view the touching MV

Bill Miller Interview

The interview of Bill Miller....

Dr. Gang OST

Click here to view Dr. Gang OST

N2N

In investing, generally there could be divided into 2 groups of people. The first group is invest based on fundamentals and rationality and the second group invest/speculate based on “Insiders’ news”…etc. While choosing which type of investment method is personal preference, one should always aware of the pros and cons of the method.

In the blog of Malaysian Finance dated 6^th April 2007, the writer indicates that he/she personally would not sell N2N shares if not passing RM 3 per share mark. (“I personally won't be selling till it goes past RM3.00.”)

Let’s do some examinations before you decide to put your hard-earned monies into N2N shares:

Market cap as at 6^th April 2007: Share price (RM) P/E

N2N at RM 667 million 2.24 66.08

MEMS at RM 451 million 0.69 32.24

EBWorx at RM 138 million 0.60 18.63

MQTech at RM 60 million 0.315 8.36

Microlink at RM 57 million 0.45 8.89

SMRTech at RM 34 million. 0.34 5.82

N2N, EBWorx and Microlink involve in similar industry, ie: financial solutions to financial institutions.

Gearing for N2N, MEMS, EBWorx and Microlink is 0 or near 0, while their ROE is double digits.

P/E for Yahoo is 61.46, Google at 47.44.

Once upon a time, there was a lady attending the party. She got to rush back to home before clock reach at 12 midnight otherwise a pretty clothes would turn back to ugly and old clothes. She is lucky enough because she left a pair of glass shoes that lead a prince to find her and lastly she becomes a princess. Will an investor/speculator of N2N has a luck like this lady? While a lady has a clock to tell her when the time is reaching, the one who attend the party of N2N do not have this privilege.

With P/E of 66.08, do a valuation of N2N at RM 2.24 per share justifies for you to invest on it? You decide……